In a recent analysis of the economic impact of the U.S. elections, experts have highlighted both the direct and indirect influence of these events on the U.S. economy and, consequently, on the global economy.
Political campaign spending, which includes advertising, events and staffing, injects millions of dollars into the economy, which is why elections often generate considerable economic activity in their own right. According to estimates, the 2024 election cycle could have seen record spending, far exceeding previous election figures.
In addition, the policies proposed by candidates and their parties have a significant effect on financial markets. Investors also often adjust their strategies based on expectations of fiscal and foreign policy changes. For example, promises of reforms in sectors such as energy, technology and healthcare can alter the valuations of companies in those sectors.
Another aspect to consider is the Federal Reserve’s response to political changes. Interest rate and monetary policy decisions are influenced, albeit not directly, by the political environment. These decisions, in turn, affect consumption, investment and the value of the dollar.
Finally, the international impact must also be taken into account. The United States, as one of the world’s largest economies, exerts considerable influence on global markets. Trade policies, international relations and security arrangements, all subject to change with each election, can alter the global economic landscape.
The challenge also consists of the emergence of new ecosystems where the export and manufacturing participation of several Latin American countries that begin to have better conditions for treaties and alliances, depending on the final results of the elections, would be strengthened.
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